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Data science and data wisdom: cultivating a data generation

Chad Heilig — CSELS Science Seminar, 2016-05-17 — 49 slides (48 shown; 1 omitted)

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Setting: Data science and data wisdom: cultivating a data generation, 2016-05-17. Science seminar for the Center for Surveillance, Epidemiology, and Laboratory Services, my debut as Associate Director for Data Science (16 months after starting in the role).

How can public health scientists who care about data keep up with fast-moving methods and tools for learning from data? The current generation of scientists needs data-savvy skills, data-wise habits of mind, and data-empowering cultural resources. I will sketch a vision for fostering the practice of data science across disciplines and levels of experience.

2016-05-17, the sun is so bright I have to wear shades. CDC’s first associate director for data science, my debut through PowerPoint: “Data Science and Data Wisdom: Cultivating a Data Generation”. I spent a year writing this thing — rehearsed it, buffed it, left a trail of 2 dozen drafts because I didn’t want to lose anything on the way here. ([generalized: my supervisor] has been there all the way through.) Who gets to do data science? Everyone. My belief shouldn’t be so radical. This job will be the one where radical becomes real. This isn’t your dry technical talk. I open with my Bard story and my own values. I bring in The Little Prince because mentoring is relational, and learning is the key to break this thing open. I end with a belief and a pledge to promote data resources and communities, explore better use of text as data, foster technical skills and intellectual virtues through mentoring and peer support in all the directions, community and conversation. [generalized: my center director] was in the room. [generalized: he] saw my DTBE data vision talk 2 years ago and invited me to apply for the ADDS position and then to make it my own. My talk was a hit among my champions, my peers, and the learners I’ve reached for 7 years — no, 16 years.

Slide 1Data Science and Data Wisdom: Cultivating a Data Generation

Blue banner with angled light streaks and 2 lines of white text, the HHS and CDC logos at upper right; a redacted region after the presenter's name.
  • Chad Heilig, PhD • [redacted: email address]
  • Associate Director for Data Science
  • CSELS Science Seminar, 2016-05-17
Description

Text in the picture

Center for Surveillance, Epidemiology, and Laboratory Services
Office of Public Health Scientific Services

Presenter notes

[title] Thank you for having me today. “Associate Director for Data Science” is a fairly new title at CDC. I’m going to talk today about some ways that I think CDC can better support a culture for doing good things with data, especially in view of fast-moving methods, technology, and tools.

Abbreviations: CDC = Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; CSELS = Center for Surveillance, Epidemiology, and Laboratory Services (CDC); HHS = Department of Health and Human Services.

Slide 2Foreword

Slide 2: Foreword; its text follows
  • CDC consumes a lot of data for our public health mission
    • Purposes: surveillance, program evaluation, research
    • Formats: small, structured data; big, unstructured data
    • Public health specialties: such as medicine, microbiology; developmental disabilities, infectious disease, malnutrition
    • Fast-moving methods, technology, tools
  • Data science (and how it differs from other sciences)
    • Science of extracting information from data
    • Core activities to ask good questions and line up the tools to answer them rigorously using data
Presenter notes

[foreword] CDC consumes a lot of data to support our public health mission. Surveillance, surveys, program evaluation, studies of health services, clinical trials. From small, structured data to big, unstructured data, the scope and scale of those data change over time, as do the methods, technology, and tools for extracting meaning from them. At CDC, we have the luxury and advantage of a shared mission, a commitment to public service, and an intense, pragmatic need to draw on expertise across disciplines in multifaceted teams.
One popular definition of data science is the science of extracting information from data. Here’s my working definition of data science: a set of core activities for asking good questions and lining up the tools to answer them rigorously using data. The tasks of stating and solving problems are often separated. This notion of data science links them, mediated through data.

Abbreviations: CDC = Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Slide 3Who gets to do data science?

Slide 3: Who gets to do data science?; its text follows
  • Why focus on data science
    • Fast-changing methods, tools
    • Data affords autonomy
  • How to cultivate
    • Know-how: technical skills
    • Drive: intellectual character
    • Support: mentoring and community
  • Every scientist who wants to do good things with data should have the intellectual support to do so
    • Proceed with rigor*
    • Stand behind one’s work
  • Cultivate, not just recruit
    • People in learning programs
  • (like EIS and ORISE)
    • Early-career scientists
Presenter notes

[who get to] Every scientist who wants to do good things with data should have the intellectual support to do so. Their end of the bargain is to proceed with rigor in all implicated domains – the things they do with data, and the reasons they do them. (More on that soon.) I’m thinking here especially about how to empower folks who are in learning programs, like EIS or ORISE, and scientists at the beginning of their careers.
Why should we focus on data science? Because we need to keep up with rapidly changing methods, technology, and tools. Since data affords a certain amount of autonomy, unlike some other scientific domains, the enterprising inquirer can capitalize on that autonomy in order to keep up. She does so by developing know-how (through technical skills), focusing her drive (through intellectual character), and receiving support (through mentoring and community).

Abbreviations: EIS = Epidemic Intelligence Service (CDC); ORISE = Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education.

Slide 4Sample data science issues

Slide 4: Sample data science issues; its text follows
  • Contemporary issues:
  • openness and scale
  • Open data, privacy
  • Reproducibility
  • High-volume data
  • High-velocity data
  • Unstructured text as data
  • Classic issues:
  • fundamentals
  • Life cycle of data
    • Analytic data management
  • Data sources
    • Experimental
    • Observational
    • Incidental
Presenter notes

[sample issues]
Here are some examples of issues that data science can help with:
[click] Data science makes available tools for classic problems, such as working with data through the life cycle from collection to analytic data management, to analysis and presentation. And some problems presented as arising with “big data” differ in scale rather than kind. For example, we confront the same issues using administrative or incidental data, whether they are massive stores of insurance claims data or paper-based registers in African or Asian countries.
[click] Contemporary issues in data science arise from drives to be open and to expand the scale of data and intensity of analytic methods. Making data available for wide audiences, while ensuring adequate protections of individual privacy. Describing practices to make analyses reproducible. Working with high-volume data, such as genomics, and high-velocity data, as found in syndromic surveillance and claims data feeds. And making sense out of unstructured text.

Slide 5A data science story

Slide 5: A data science story; its text follows
  • Find TB to stop TB
  • Bard College, 2011-01-13
Presenter notes

[transition: data science story]
I want to start with a story about my identity and motivation as a data scientist. In January 2011, I had the pleasure of talking to first-year liberal-arts students at Bard College. It was a 40-minute in which I shared a story about a part that I played in the progression of data-driven evidence to improve how we can better find TB in order to stop TB. Here’s a 5-minute version.

Abbreviations: TB = tuberculosis.

Slide 6Finding TB among persons with HIV

Report cover: white title on dark blue, diagonal white and gray bars, an emblem with the organization's name at lower left, HIVTB logo at lower right.
  • Stop TB Strategy, 2006: TB-free world
  • Progressive evidence to improve case-finding, 2007–2011
    • WHO guidelines based on expert opinion
    • Rigorous cross-sectional study in SE Asia
      • Plus several others
    • Meta-analysis of several studies
    • WHO guidelines based on synthesis of data-driven evidence
Description

Text in the picture

Guidelines for intensified
tuberculosis case-finding
and isoniazid preventive
therapy for people
living with HIV
in resource-
constrained
settings
World Health
Organization
HIVTB

Presenter notes

[finding TB] TB is an important global health problem, and the effort to stop TB requires (among other efforts) that we get better at finding cases of TB, especially among persons with HIV. The Stop TB Strategy, set out in 2006, envisioned a world free of TB. As recently at 2007, the World Health Organization’s case-finding guidelines were based on expert opinion.
I collaborated as data scientist on an influential cross-sectional study in Southeast Asia. Several other rigorous studies were published around the same time.
Then I led a meta-analysis of about a dozen of these studies to synthesize this accumulating data.
In 2011, WHO published new, data-driven guidelines for finding TB to stop TB by using information on 4 symptoms among persons with HIV.
<say more about methods: searching 80 million combinations in a novel way; bivariate random-effects meta-analysis; have graphics as backup slides?>
<citations: [corrected: sources as on Find TB to stop TB (2011), slide 40, https://goodthingswithdata.com/doing/tb-find/pres/pr_20110113_find-tb-stop-tb/#slide-040]>

Abbreviations: HIV = human immunodeficiency virus; HIVTB = human immunodeficiency virus and tuberculosis; SE = Southeast (as in SE Asia); TB = tuberculosis; WHO = World Health Organization.

Slide 7What will stop the TB/HIV syndemic?

Red octagon on a black square with white text I AM STOPPING; the T is dark and a dark B sits below it, so TB reads downward.
  • Addressed to first-year, liberal-arts students:
    • “… the arts have become powerless against tuberculosis.”
    • “The concept of a scientific conquest of tuberculosis has proven hubristic.”
    • “Science is crucial but alone is not sufficient to control the tuberculosis epidemic.”
    • The social dimension of TB demands compassion and political will.
Description

Text in the picture

I AM
STOPPING
B

Presenter notes

[stop TB/HIV syndemic] For my audience of first-year liberal arts students, I posed the broader question of what it will take to stop the TB/HIV syndemic. [click] As seen in narratives like La bohème, the arts are powerless. [click] As evidenced by the fact that TB is still with us [click], science has advanced in fits and starts and is insufficient to control TB. [click] The social dimension of TB demands compassion and political will. What is a scientist to do? Here’s <a gently updated version of> what I told them.
I am a scientist, trained in math, statistics, some philosophy, a smattering in other disciplines. I derive comfort in the realm of reason, where one can measure and count and—paradoxically—quantify uncertainty. I entered public health because I wanted to use rigorous scientific methods to help better the human condition.
<Image credit Becton-Dickinson>
<sources: [arts powerless: [corrected: La bohème, as on Find TB to stop TB (2011), slide 5, https://goodthingswithdata.com/doing/tb-find/pres/pr_20110113_find-tb-stop-tb/#slide-005]]; [hubristic: [corrected: Iseman 2000, cited below, as on Find TB to stop TB (2011), slide 11, https://goodthingswithdata.com/doing/tb-find/pres/pr_20110113_find-tb-stop-tb/#slide-011]]; “Science is crucial” quotation from pg 426 of GB Migliori et al. 125 years after Robert Koch’s discovery of the tubercle bacillus: the new XDR-TB threat. Is ‘‘science’’ enough to tackle the epidemic? European Respiratory Journal. 2007; 29: 423–427. The authors add: Basic science plus sound public health approach to use and preserve utility of scientific advances.
“Concept of scientific conquest” quotation from pg ix of MD Iseman. A Clinician's Guide to Tuberculosis. Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, 2000.>

Abbreviations: HIV = human immunodeficiency virus; TB = tuberculosis; XDR = extensively drug-resistant.

Slide 8Science and values (know-how and drive)

Black square with a white stick figure, arms raised, holding a bubbling flask and a small handheld object, between lines of white text.

which interesting mistake
to try to make next

when and how to balance courage, humility, curiosity

possible and necessary to learn from interesting mistakes

to ask hard questions and to act on difficult answers

curiosity

courage

humility

wisdom

Description

Text in the picture

STAND BACK
I'M GOING TO TRY
SCIENCE

Presenter notes

[science and values] My personal values motivated me to pursue technical excellence and to offer those skills in public service. I wanted to honor the rigors of several domains: clinical medicine; microbiology; computation and analysis; inference and presentation.
In addition to technical skills, values motivate and shape scientific inquiry and learning, not least because TB has shown us that the arts alone, or the sciences alone, will fail to stop TB. Here are some of the values that animate my own actions: [click]
Courage, both to ask hard questions and to act on difficult answers. [click]
Humility, because it is often possible and even necessary to learn from interesting mistakes. [click]
Curiosity, because there’s no formula for telling us which interesting mistake to try to make next. [click]
Wisdom, because sometimes courage, humility, and curiosity are in tension with each other.
For finding TB to stop TB, it took willingness – courage, humility, curiosity, wisdom – to test the received expertise against competing alternatives. We obtained evidence patiently, rigorously, and incrementally. There are encouraging signs that WHO’s evidence-based guidance will be followed by the political will to act. I’m grateful to have played a small but substantial role in this one effort to stop TB and better the human condition.
That story tells you a little bit about my identity as a data scientist. In 5 years since this Bard talk, I’ve come to believe that values like courage, humility, curiosity, and wisdom are also fundamental to cultivating a data generation.
<Image credit http://imgs.xkcd.com/store/imgs/stand_back_square_0.png>
<wonder and delight?.

Abbreviations: TB = tuberculosis; WHO = World Health Organization.

Slide 9Know-how: technical skills

Slide 9: Know-how: technical skills; its text follows

Technical skills allow the data scientist to ask and answer good scientific questions rigorously using data.

Presenter notes

[transition: data-savvy skills] Let’s start with the technical skills that allow a scientist to extract information from data, that is, to ask and answer good scientific questions rigorously using data.

Slide 10Core activities and epicycles

Gear diagram: a small gray gear with 3 numbered steps, an arrow down to a ring gear holding 5 colored, numbered gears.

Core activities
State a good question
Obtain and explore data
Build a formal model
Interpret results and implications
Communicate methods, results, and significance

Epicycles
Set expectations about activity
Collect information about expectations
Compare expectations to information
 Mismatch → revise expectations or data
 Match → cheers!

http://leanpub.com/artoaafdatascience

Presenter notes

[core activities and epicycles] Roger Peng and Elizabeth Matsui, faculty at Johns Hopkins University, have written about 5 core activities for “the art of data science”: [click] state a good question; [click] obtain and explore data; [click] build a formal model; [click] interpret the results and their implications; and, [click] communicate the methods, results, and their significance. They go further: each core activity comes with what they call an epicycle—a practice for framing, checking, and possibly revising or revisiting each activity. [click] First, set your expectations. [click] Then collect information and compare your expectations to your information. [click] If they don't match, then take another look and either revise your expectations or your information. Maybe repeat the current core activity or return to a previous one. [click] If they do match, then you're in a good place. Sometimes check again for good measure.
<Source: Peng and Matsui 2015, pages 10, 13>

Slide 11Data science is what data scientists do

Ring gear holding 5 colored gears numbered 1 to 5 around a central gray gear, with a circular arrow; no labels.
  • Data scientist: (semi)autonomous explorer
    • Data in hand
    • Widely available software
    • Curiosity, persistence to break problem open
  • Help [collaborators] shift from ad hoc analysis to an ongoing conversation with data. … a desire to go beneath the surface of a problem, find the questions at its heart, and distill them into a very clear set of hypotheses that can be tested.
  • — Davenport and Patil, HBR 2012

US Chief Data Scientist

Presenter notes

[what data scientists do] Data science affords a measure of autonomy for practicing and honing data skills, because of ready access to open methods, technology, and tools. Some technical skills require special equipment (like Petri dishes or microscopes) or access to humans (like clinical medicine or behavioral counseling). To learn about data and from data, it is often enough to have data in had, widely available software, and the persistence to jump into a problem and break it open. Software is now often freely available; consider the very active R and Python user communities. So data science can be practiced with a great deal of self-determination. With that autonomy comes the latitude to own and direct one’s learning.
Writing in 2012 for the Harvard Business Review, Tom Davenport and DJ Patil (now the US Chief Data Scientist) wrote, “[Data scientists] are able to bring structure to large quantities of formless data and make analysis possible. They ... help decision makers shift from ad hoc analysis to an ongoing conversation with data. The dominant trait among data scientists is an intense curiosity—a desire to go beneath the surface of a problem, find the questions at its heart, and distill them into a very clear set of hypotheses that can be tested.”
<examples: ID-TB/HIV in SE Asia (different solution spaces for screening rules, including combinatorial); BREMA; random forests in autism surveillance>
<sources: Schutt 2012; Davenport and Patil 2012>

Abbreviations: BREMA = bivariate random-effects meta-analysis; HBR = Harvard Business Review; HIV = human immunodeficiency virus; ID = Improving Diagnosis of TB in People Living with HIV (study); SE = Southeast (as in SE Asia); TB = tuberculosis; US = United States.

Slide 12Data science skills

Infographic titled MODERN DATA SCIENTIST: a cartoon woman with a tablet and shoulder bag, framed by 4 faint lists of skills.
  • Math and statistics
    • Includes machine learning
    • We <3 algorithms for finding associations
  • Programming and database
    • Flat and relational tables
    • Data standards
    • Scale: big-table split and unsplit
  • Communication and visualization
    • Gain and convey insights
  • Domain knowledge ← rigor
  • “Soft skills” ← drive

http://www.marketingdistillery.com

Presenter notes

[skills/modern data scientist] What skills allow someone to ask good questions and line up the tools to answer them rigorously using data? As depicted in this graphic from MarketingDistillery, data science crosses several disciplines:
Math and statistics, including statistical modeling and machine learning. Statistical modeling typically refers to using probability to think about how data might have been generated and then using data to figure out if we might be right. Contingency tables, regression models, time-to-event models are all examples. Machine learning typically refers to asking whether we can find patterns that relate inputs and outputs so that we can take new inputs and predict the associated outputs with high accuracy. Classification trees, random forests, support vector machines, natural language processing are examples. What Google search and Facebook and Microsoft Cortana and Apple Siri do.
Programming and database skills, such as computer science, software engineering, statistical computing, parallel processing for breaking up large or intensive big-data problems and reassembling output.
Communication and visualization for translating data insights into stories, decisions, actions; to convey understanding clearly to persons of varied backgrounds. <bring in examples?>
Domain knowledge, such as public health. Rigor goes both ways: using technical skills well in addition to respecting the rigors of specific domains, such as medicine and microbiology. “Soft skills” are personality traits, goals, motivations, and preferences that are valued in an applied domain. Many sources emphasize that those who practice data science should be passionate, curious problem-solvers.
<sources: Zawadzki 2014>

Slide 13Map skills to core activities

Slide 13: Map skills to core activities; its text follows
  • Core activities
  • State a good question
  • Obtain and explore data
  • Build a formal model
  • Interpret results and implications
  • Communicate methods, results, and significance
  • Skills
  • Domain knowledge
  • Programming and database
  • Math and statistics
  • Communication and visualization
  • “Soft skills”
Presenter notes

[map skills to core activities] Maybe you can start to appreciate how these data science skills support the core activities and their epicycles. Domain knowledge is needed to state and refine a good question. Programming and database skills help the scientist wrangle data in service to answering the question. Math and statistics skills undergird exploration and formal modeling as well as interpretation. Communication and visualization skills help develop and tell the story that answers the question.
I’ll come back to “soft skills”, but first a brief diversion about statistics.
<sources: Zawadzki 2014; Peng and Matsui 2015>

Slide 14Data science ≠ statistics + marketing

Slide 14: Data science ≠ statistics + marketing; its text follows
  • Statistics is important—don’t get me wrong … But it’s not the most important part of data science, or even close.
  • — Gelman 2013
  • Don’t go into statistics. … Take statistics, but remember that the great adventure of statistics is in gathering and using data to solve interesting and important real world problems.
  • — Breiman 2001
Presenter notes

[whither statistics?] My degree is in statistics. There’s a lot of discussion about whether data science is just a marketing term for statistics.
Leo Breiman, the late UC Berkeley faculty member and an early bridge-builder between statistical and machine-learning communities, said that he might advise a young person (in 2001), “Don’t go into statistics.” In the end, he would say, “Take statistics, but remember that the great adventure of statistics is in gathering and using data to solve interesting and important real world problems.”
And Andrew Gelman, Columbia faculty member and prolific blogger, wrote in 2013, “Statistics is the least important part of data science … Statistics is important—don’t get me wrong … But it’s not the most important part of data science, or even close.”
Data science isn’t the exclusive domain of statisticians or computer scientists. Where else do data scientists come from?
<sources: Breiman 2001; Gelman 2013>

Abbreviations: UC = University of California (Berkeley).

Slide 15Recruit or cultivate data scientists?

Slide 15: Recruit or cultivate data scientists?; its text follows
  • Technical skills and knowledge will become obsolete
  • Both recruit and cultivate:
  • Seek a skill set and certain habits of mind
  • — Davenport and Patil, HBR
  • Hence need for “soft skills”
  • “Sexiest job of the 21st Century” (HBR)
  • “Among best 25 jobs in America” (Fast Company)
  • What data scientists do is not scaling with demand
  • Mistake to focus only on people who call themselves data scientists
Presenter notes

[hire or cultivate] Amidst the mixture of excitement and marketing hype about “data scientists”, there’s a recurring question about whether data scientists are recruited and hired or cultivated.
Harvard Business Review (2012) headlined data scientist as “the sexiest job of the 21st Century”. / This year, Fast Company has called it one of the best 25 jobs in America.
Data scientists are hard to find and attract. … What data scientists do … is simply not scaling at the pace of demand. <Millis 2015>
You learn data science on the job. … self-learners can catch up quickly .... But focusing only on people who call themselves data scientists is a mistake. <Van Cauwenberge 2015>
Technical skills cover the know-how for answering good scientific questions rigorously using data. Technical skills have limits and will become obsolete as methods, technology, and tools advance. To keep up with constant change, it is not enough to focus on technical skills and knowledge.
“… don’t hire on the basis of statistical or analytical capabilities alone. … seek both a skill set … and certain habits of mind, a feel for business issues and empathy for customers. Then build on all that on the job.” <Davenport and Patil 2012>
<sources: Davenport and Patil, 2012; Dishman 2016; Millis 2015; Van Cauwenberge 2015; Davenport and Patil 2012; Schutt 2012>
“Data scientists are hard to find and attract. … Data scientists are rare commodities. … What data scientists do – curate data, ask the right questions, build explanatory analytical models, implement the models into various applications – is simply not scaling at the pace of demand.” <Millis 2015>
“I believe you indeed learn data science on the job. It is true that data scientists should know [some specific technical skills] … And self-learners can catch up quickly .... But focusing only on people who call themselves data scientists is a mistake.” <Van Cauwenberge 2015>
“A prominent data scientist in Silicon Valley ... doesn’t hire on the basis of statistical or analytical capabilities. … [He] seeks both a skill set—a solid foundation in math, statistics, probability, and computer science—and certain habits of mind. He wants people with a feel for business issues and empathy for customers. Then, he says, he builds on all that with on-the-job training and an occasional course in a particular technology. <Davenport and Patil 2012>

Abbreviations: HBR = Harvard Business Review.

Slide 16Drive: intellectual character

Slide 16: Drive: intellectual character; its text follows

We can cultivate self-learning problem-solvers by fostering intellectual character.

Presenter notes

[transition: intellectual character] For the second component of my model for a culture of data science, we can cultivate self-learning problem-solvers—responsible learners and inquirers who are better able to keep up with fast-moving methods, technology, and tools—by fostering intellectual character.
<source: Costa 2008>

Slide 17Self-learning problem-solvers get to do data science

Slide 17: Self-learning problem-solvers get to do data science; its text follows
  • Love of knowledge, learning (mediated through data)
    • Ask thoughtful questions
    • Pay close attention to details
    • Honestly acknowledge what one doesn’t know
    • Probe for deeper meaning
    • Persist in the face of obstacles
  • — Baehr 2013
  • Self-learning problem-solvers
  • Who gets to do data science?
    • restate
  • Who wants to do good things with data, proceed with rigor, and stand behind their work?
    • restate
  • Who will line up the tools to answer good questions rigorously using data?
Presenter notes

[self-learning problem-solvers]
I opened with the question, “Who gets to do data science?” I can rephrase the question as, “Who wants to do good things with data, proceed with rigor, and stand behind their work?” And again as, “Who wants to do good things with data, proceed with rigor, and stand behind their work?”
My first answer is self-learning problem-solvers: people who ask thoughtful questions, pay close attention to details, honestly acknowledge what they don’t know, probe for deeper meaning, and persist in the face of obstacles. <cf Baehr 2013b>
Sure, there is a place for “training”, but in my mind the word “training” doesn’t adequately respect the agency and efficacy of the learner, who has to take an active role not only in receiving instruction but in practicing and honing what is learned.
These actions flow from a love of knowledge and learning, especially when mediated through working with data.
<I’m drawing heavily on the work of Jason Baehr, a faculty member and virtue epistemologist at Loyola Marymount University. He adds, “While soft skills are not the same thing as intellectual virtues, they include such virtues as curiosity, attentiveness, perseverance, open-mindedness, and creativity.” <Baehr 2013b>>
<sources: Baehr 2013b>

Slide 18Intellectual virtues animate data science

Cartoon: a man in a white coat and head mirror touches the chest of a striped cat sitting upright on an examination table.
  • Traits that flow from a love of knowledge and learning
    • Ability or skill specific to a virtue, leading to action
    • Motivation or commitment to apply the virtue
    • Judgment or sensitivity when and how to exercise the skill
    • — Baehr 2015
  • Too much or too little → vice

It’s curiosity

Presenter notes

[dimensions of virtues] Intellectual virtues flow from a love of knowledge and learning, aiming at “cognitive goods”, like truth and understanding. <King 2014> Baehr <2015> describes 3 dimensions of an intellectual virtue: First, an ability or skill specific to a virtue and leading to action. For the trait of curiosity, this skill is asking good questions. Second, the motivation or commitment to apply the virtue. With curiosity, this means asking good questions because of a love of knowledge or learning. Third, the judgment or sensitivity to know when and how to exercise virtuous abilities or skills. With curiosity, this entails a sense for when to start, continue, or stop inquiry. In addition, each virtue can be seen as the mean between 2 vices—too little of a good thing and too much of a good thing. With curiosity, these vices might be indifference and obsession, respectively.
<sources: King 2014; Baehr 2015; comic by Leo Collum, © Condé Nast>

Slide 19Virtues, by stage of inquiry

Slide 19: Virtues, by stage of inquiry; its text follows
  • Start learning, head in the right direction
    • Curiosity: ask good questions
    • Intellectual autonomy: think for oneself
    • Intellectual humility: admit one’s limitations
  • Keep learning process on track
    • Intellectual attentiveness: look and listen
    • Intellectual carefulness: avoid errors
    • Intellectual thoroughness: go deep to understand
  • Deal with obstacles
    • Open-mindedness: think outside the box
    • Intellectual courage: take intellectual risks
    • Intellectual tenacity: embrace struggle

Ask good questions
Line up tools
Answer questions rigorously

Epicycles:
Set expectations
Gather information
Check expectations ↔ information
Resolve mismatched expectations

Presenter notes

[virtues by stage of inquiry] [click] A few virtues relate to how to start learning or start an inquiry and ensure that it heads in the right direction: In addition to curiosity, intellectual autonomy is the ability to think for oneself, and intellectual humility is the ability to admit one’s limitations—to know what you don’t know. [click] Notice how these virtues relate to my operational definition of data science: “ask good questions and line up the tools to answer them rigorously using data”.
After starting an inquiry, a few virtues assist the learner in keeping on track: Attentiveness is the ability to engage, to look and listen, and to notice details. Carefulness is the ability to spot and avoid errors. Thoroughness is the ability to go deep in order to gain understanding and to explain. Observe how these virtues relate to the epicycles associated with the 5 core activities of the art of data science: setting expectations, gathering information, and checking expectations against information.
Even on track to learning, one is likely to encounter obstacles. Within an epicycle, expectations and gathered information might not match. A learner benefits from intellectual virtues that help her to work through or around obstacles: Open-mindedness helps her to think outside the box when confronted with a challenge to solve. Courage helps her to be bold and to take intellectual risks. Tenacity or perseverance helps her to embrace struggle while working through a challenge.
<sources: King 2014; Baehr 2015, 2013b>

Slide 20Wisdom: dimension to balance demands

Slide 20: Wisdom: dimension to balance demands; its text follows
  • Intellectual virtues can conflict
    • Example: courage and humility
  • Mediating virtue of practical wisdom
    • Grasp which intellectual activity is most valuable for attaining one’s goals
    • Dimension of all intellectual virtues: judgment or sensitivity regarding when and when not to exercise that virtue
Presenter notes

[balance demands] But virtues can conflict with each other: courage can conflict with humility when the drive to take an intellectual risk runs counter to the limitations of one’s abilities. To navigate these conflicts, the good learner or thinker is aided by practical wisdom. This trait allows the inquirer <phronimos, per Baehr 2013a> to grasp which intellectual activity is most valuable for attaining her goals. Recall that Baehr <2015> identifies one dimension of an intellectual virtue as judgment or sensitivity about when and when not to exercise that virtue. Practical wisdom undergirds this dimension and also allows the good learner or thinker to take suitable action when intellectual virtues conflict. <see Greco and Turri 2011, Baehr 2013a>
<sources: Baehr 2013a, 2013b, 2015; Greco and Turri 2011; statue at La Rochelle city hall by Libersac, photo by Selbymay>
<weigh the demands of all the relevant intellectual virtues in a given situation and take suitable action. In a conflict between courage and humility, for example, the virtuous thinker might temper her intellectual risks to exceed only slightly her current abilities. In this way, she still does a new thing, but her reach is less likely to grossly exceed her grasp.>

Slide 21Intellectual virtues are learned

Slide 21: Intellectual virtues are learned; its text follows
  • Intellectual virtues are developed by practicing them
    • Courage: take risks and learn from the consequences
    • Humility: own your limitations rather than shy away from them
  • Intellectual virtues are developed through guidance
    • See them modeled, by mentors and by peers
    • Receive guidance
  • Connect love of knowledge to self-learning, problem-solving
Presenter notes

[virtues for data science] Even if a good learner or thinker is motivated to apply intellectual virtues, she still needs to develop the abilities and judgment that connect her motivation to right action. How does she do that? Intellectual virtues are developed by practicing them. You get better at courage by practicing courage—by taking intellectual risks and learning from the consequences. You get better at humility by practicing humility—by owning your limitations and not shying away from them.
A culture of data science is stronger when self-learning problem-solvers can see these intellectual virtues modeled and receive guidance – even wisdom – from peers and experienced scientists.

Slide 22Support: mentoring and community

Slide 22: Support: mentoring and community; its text follows

A community of mentors and peers to empower self-learning and foster practical wisdom.

Presenter notes

[transition: data culture] The intellectually virtuous data scientist needs the support of a data culture. She needs a community of practice that empowers self-learning and fosters practical wisdom.

Slide 23What: Mentors guide, model, enable

Slide 23: What: Mentors guide, model, enable; its text follows
  • Guide technical skills
    • Analytic data management, statistics, machine learning
    • Encourage personalized direction for self-learning
  • Model intellectual virtues and exercise practical wisdom
    • Show by example ways to practice curiosity, courage, humility
    • Thinking out loud is an exercise in vulnerability
  • Create opportunities to practice intellectual virtues
    • Stimulate curiosity; reward courage; foster humility
Presenter notes

[mentors]
In my model for a data culture, data science mentors create supportive conditions to guide other scientists to learn about data and to learn from data. A mentor is responsible for guiding technical skills to encourage a personalized direction for self-learning. <such as managing relational databases, smoothing binary outcomes, modeling seasonality, or exploring categorical data using mosaic plots.> Mentors also model intellectual virtues and exercise practical wisdom. They show by example ways to practice curiosity, courage, humility. I often do this by thinking out loud, usually when I have no idea whether I’m making sense. This is honest, but also an exercise in vulnerability. Mentors also create regular opportunities for the student to practice intellectual virtues by stimulating curiosity, rewarding courage, and fostering humility.
<sources: Schutt 2012; Baehr 2015; >
“In education in traditional settings, we focus on answers. But what we probably should focus on is how a student behaves when they don’t know the answer. We need to have qualities that help us find the answer.” <Schutt 2012>

Slide 24How: Mentors engage and nurture

Watercolor drawing: a small figure with yellow hair, a long green robe and a streaming scarf on a grassy hillside, a fox at right.
  • Respond to and nurture a love of and interest in
  • thinking, learning, and answering good questions
  • Personal: Mentorees’ beliefs about knowledge and inquiry matter to how students learn about data and from data
  • Relational: Personal growth in trusting and caring relationships
  • Reflective: Pause to discuss the value of thinking
  • and the significance of what is being learned

— Baehr 2015

Presenter notes

<personalize>
[mentor for growth] The mentor also guides the less experienced data scientist to develop wisdom for herself. The mentor must earn the trust and respect of the mentoree, so that the mentoree is able to make interesting mistakes.
In the context of education, Baehr <2013b> explains that educating for intellectual character growth is personal, because it involves thinking of students as persons whose basic beliefs, attitudes, and feelings about knowledge and learning also matter critically to the quality of their education; it is necessarily social or relational, because personal change and growth occur most readily in the context of trusting and caring relationships; and, it is reflective, because it involves reflecting on and discussing with students the value of thinking and learning, regularly pausing to identify or reflect on the significance of what is being learned.
The mentoring relationship responds to and nurtures a love of and interest in thinking, learning, answering good questions. “Intellectual virtues flow, not from a desire for praise or approval, but out of a genuine interest in thinking and learning.” <Baehr 2015>
“An intellectual virtues educational model is poised to strike a sensible and attractive balance between promoting academic rigor while also being sufficiently caring and personal.” <Baehr 2013b>
<sources: Baehr 2013b, 2015>

Slide 25Mentoring goes several directions

Diagram of 4 labeled boxes joined by arrows: Meta-mentor above Mentor, Mentor to a Learner, and 2 Learners linked both ways.
  • Direct mentoring of learners
    • Fellows
    • Students
    • Early-career scientists
  • Communities of peers
  • Meta-mentoring of other mentors

Mentor

Meta-mentor

Learner

Learner

Presenter notes

[mentoring directions]
In a robust culture supported by mentoring, the mentoring relationships go in several directions. The most apparent is the relationship of the mentor to the learner – fellows, students, and early-career scientists. In communities of peers, learners can mentor each other in the same personal, relational, and reflective ways as mentors with learners. Finally, the practice of mentoring itself warrants guidance and wisdom from experienced mentors, or what I call here “meta-mentoring”.

Slide 26Community of mentors and peers

A redacted region on the line below the R pun line, the second line of the third bullet's sub-text.
  • Fellowships (EIS, PE, PHI, PM) foster communities of peers;
  • Students and ORISE tend to lack organized community
  • Interest groups and workgroups
    • SAG, RUG, HERG, MInD; SciComp
    • DHIS Data Hub communities of practice (e.g., CMS, MarketScan)
  • Forthcoming blog: Expression of data science
    • expression ( data , science ) # R pun
    • [redacted: intranet URL]
    • A blog to think, learn, and talk about data in science
Presenter notes

[community of mentors and peers] A robust culture of data science also needs a strong community. Some learning programs, such as EIS and the Prevention Effectiveness Fellowship, build community into the experience. Others, such as working with masters students on a practicum or ORISE research participants, require extra effort to create community. Where these communities exist, they can reinforce learning, but they don’t necessarily focus on data science.
CDC has a number of interest groups and workgroups that also create community, such as the Statistical Advisory Group, the R Users Group, the Health Economics Research Group, the Modeling Infectious Diseases group, the scientific computing facility, and more that I can’t enumerate here. These communities require energy and attention to nurture.
Finally, we’re launching a complementary effort to host conversations on thinking, learning, and talking about data in science: Expression of data science is a blog that is internal to CDC, launching with the first post today.

Abbreviations: CDC = Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; CMS = Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services; DHIS = Division of Health Informatics and Surveillance (CDC, in CSELS); EIS = Epidemic Intelligence Service (CDC); HERG = Health Economics Research Group (CDC); MInD = Modeling Infectious Diseases (CDC interest group); ORISE = Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education; PE = Prevention Effectiveness (Fellowship, CDC); PHI = Public Health Informatics (Fellowship); PM = Preventive Medicine (Residency and Fellowship, CDC).

Slide 27Know-how • drive • support→ Data science culture

Slide 27: Know-how • drive • support→ Data science culture; its text follows

A data science culture supports scientists in all disciplines.

Presenter notes

[transition: data generation] I have talked through 3 major components of my vision for a data science culture: know-how through technical skills, drive built on intellectual character, and support through mentoring and community.

Slide 28Forward → Afterword

Slide 28: Forward → Afterword; its text follows
  • Data science: a set of core activities to ask good questions and line up the tools to answer them rigorously using data
    • Practice of data science crosses disciplines: ask and answer
    • Virtues drive commitment to public service, self-learning (to keep up!), and autonomy to engage and solve problems
  • Elements to foster a data science culture
    • Know-how to bridge domain knowledge and methods
    • Love of knowledge to drive problem-solving with data
    • Mentors and peers provide direction, wisdom, and support
Presenter notes

[afterword]
At CDC, we have the luxury and advantage of a shared mission, a commitment to public service, and an intense, pragmatic need to draw on expertise across disciplines in multifaceted teams. By all means, we should hire great talent. But we also need to sow, till, and tend staff already on board. For our data generation, we must foster technical skills and a mastery of technique that allows scientists to extract information from data; we must foster intellectual virtues, including practical wisdom, that guide both inquiry and self-learning, and that enables scientists to ask good questions and to line up tools to answer those questions rigorously with data; and, we must foster a culture of mentoring, peer support, and advocacy in a community of practice that empowers data scientists to keep up with fast-moving methods, technology, and tools.
<democratize/liberate/promote practice among everyone who wants to do useful things with data; guided self-learning>

Slide 29CSELS Associate Director for Data Science

Gray square poster at right: a stick figure holding a bubbling flask and a small rectangular object, with blocky white lettering above and below.
  • With Data Science title, I will promote the following:
  • Data resources and communities, such as DHIS Data Hub
  • Explore better use of text as data
  • Data science skills for learners in programs
  • like EIS, PE, PHI in DSEPD; ORISE
    • Technical skills and intellectual virtues
    • Mentoring and peer support (in several directions)
  • Community and conversation through
  • data science blog
Description

Text in the picture

STAND BACK
I'M GOING TO TRY
SCIENCE

Presenter notes

[CSELS ADDS] With this new “data science” title, I will promote the following:
Data resources and communities, such as DHIS Data Hub. Data science skills for learners in programs like those in DSEPD (EIS, PE, PHI) and others (ORISE), fostering technical skills and intellectual virtues; mentoring and peer support (direct mentoring of fellows, students, early-career scientists, meta-mentoring of other mentors, and communities of practice among peers), and a small part of the data science community and culture through a new data science blog.

Abbreviations: ADDS = Associate Director for Data Science; CSELS = Center for Surveillance, Epidemiology, and Laboratory Services (CDC); DHIS = Division of Health Informatics and Surveillance (CDC, in CSELS); DSEPD = Division of Scientific Education and Professional Development (CDC); EIS = Epidemic Intelligence Service (CDC); ORISE = Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education; PE = Prevention Effectiveness (Fellowship, CDC); PHI = Public Health Informatics (Fellowship).

Slide 30End

Two redacted regions, after the name and on the line below; a blue footer band carries 2 logos at lower right, with a web address above.
  • Chad Heilig, PhD • [redacted: email address]
  • [redacted: intranet URL]
  • The views presented are the author’s own and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Description

Text in the picture

www.cdc.gov
CDC
CENTERS FOR DISEASE CONTROL AND PREVENTION
DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVICES USA

Abbreviations: CDC = Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; USA = United States of America.

Slide 31 is omitted.

Slide 32Data science and informatics

Slide 32: Data science and informatics; its text follows
  • Informatics
  • Systematic application of information and computer science and technology to public health practice, research, and learning
  • Focus: technology and systems, movement and scale
  • Data science
  • Science of extracting information from data;
  • set of core activities to ask good questions and line up the tools to answer them rigorously using data
  • Focus: meaning, rigor
Presenter notes

PHI can be defined as “the systematic application of information and computer science and technology to public health practice, research and learning.” [p. 68 WA Yasnoff et al. Public health informatics: Improving and transforming public health in the information age. Journal of Public Health Management and Practice 2000; 6(6): 67–75.]
“In contrast to a health IT professional working specifically on troubleshooting technology or infrastructure issues, a PHI specialist leverages information and computer science to support public health goals and decision-making and defines the ‘how and why’ science behind the technological tool or approach” [TG Savel, S Foldy, S. The role of public health informatics in enhancing public health surveillance: CDC’s Vision for Public Health Surveillance in the 21st Century. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 2012; 61(3): 20–24.].

Abbreviations: CDC = Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; IT = information technology; PHI = Public Health Informatics (Fellowship).

Slide 33Table: intellectual virtues, actions, and vices

Slide 33: Table: intellectual virtues, actions, and vices; its text follows
VirtueActionVice: too littleVice: too much
CuriosityAsk good questionsIndifferenceObsession
Intellectual autonomyThink for oneselfConformityRadicalism
Intellectual humilityAdmit one’s limitationsArroganceSelf-deprecation
Intellectual attentivenessLook and listenDistractednessPreoccupation
Intellectual carefulnessAvoid errorsSloppinessPerfectionism
Intellectual thoroughnessGo deep to understandSuperficialityMeticulousness
Open-mindednessThink outside the boxNarrow-mindednessCredulity
Intellectual courageTake intellectual risksCowardiceRashness
Intellectual tenacityEmbrace struggleFicklenessIntransigence
Presenter notes

<sources: King 2014; Baehr 2015, 2013b>

Slide 34My 2 favorite experiences with data

Slide 34: My 2 favorite experiences with data; its text follows
  • As a collaborating analyst, breaking open a data problem after struggling mightily, to delight in unexpected discovery
  • As a mentor, guiding an early-career scientist through the same struggle, wonder, and delight
    • Especially scientists who had limited experience with data
  • About 3 dozen mentorees
    • Students, postdocs, early-career scientists
    • Medicine, epidemiology, mathematics, philosophy, policy
Presenter notes

[favorite experiences]
As a collaborating analyst, my favorite experience is breaking open a data problem after struggling mightily, to delight in unexpected discovery. As a mentor, my favorite experience is guiding an early-career scientist through the same struggle, wonder, and delight – especially scientists who had limited experience with data.
Over the past 15 years or so, I’ve mentored about 3 dozen students, postdoctoral fellows, and early-career scientists from medicine, epidemiology, mathematics, philosophy, and other fields.
Sometimes, folks from other fields apologize for claiming any authority in using data science methods to address important questions. In my view, as long as they practice the methods with appropriate rigor—often guided by someone who identifies professionally with the field—then they should take pride in using those methods to address questions that they develop from their subject-matter expertise.

Slide 35Mentors share knowledge, wisdom

Painting in an ancient Greek vase style: a young man holding a long staff faces a bearded older man who gestures with a raised hand.
  • Guide technical skills
  • Model intellectual virtues
  • Exercise practical wisdom
  • Create opportunities to practice intellectual virtues
Description

Text in the picture

Fabisch

Presenter notes

[mentors] The word mentor is borrowed from Homer's Odyssey, where the goddess Athena took on the appearance of the character Mentor to guide Telemachus in his search for his father Odysseus. Now it means someone who imparts wisdom to and shares knowledge with a less experienced colleague.
“In education in traditional settings, we focus on answers. But what we probably should focus on is how a student behaves when they don’t know the answer. We need to have qualities that help us find the answer.” <Schutt 2012>
Over the past 15 years or so, I’ve mentored about 3 dozen students, postdoctoral fellows, and early-career scientists from medicine, epidemiology, mathematics, philosophy, and other fields. In my model for cultivating a data generation, data science mentors create supportive conditions to guide other scientists to learn about data and to learn from data. A mentor is responsible for guiding technical skills and for modeling intellectual virtues, for exercising practical wisdom, for creating regular opportunities to practice intellectual virtues, and for guiding the less experienced data scientist to develop wisdom for herself. The mentor must earn the trust and respect of the mentoree, so that the mentoree is able to make interesting mistakes. It’s difficult for the student to be vulnerable on purpose, so the mentor must remain mindful of the difference in power, and to share power that enables the mentoree to thrive and grow intellectually.
<sources: Schutt 2012; Baehr 2015; image by Pablo E Fabisch 1699>

Slide 36Mentorees ask, solve, reflect, improve

Slide 36: Mentorees ask, solve, reflect, improve; its text follows
  • Take responsibility for self-learning
  • Seek mentorship
  • Practice intellectual virtues
  • Take risks, make interesting mistakes
  • Strive to
    • Ask questions
    • Solve problems
    • Think about process
    • Use data [corrected: responsibly] to improve the world
Presenter notes

[mentorees, peers]
In turn, those being mentored in the practice of data science bear a few responsibilities.
They must take responsibility for self-learning.
They must seek opportunities to be mentored and to practice intellectual virtues, mimicking those that are modeled, such as open-mindedness, courage, and tenacity.
They must take risks and make interesting mistakes, acknowledging your vulnerability and accepting power when empowered.
They must know themselves (or get to know themselves).
They should strive to be problem-solvers, to be question-askers, to think about their process, to use data responsibly and make the world better, not worse. <cf Schutt 2012>
They should support and mentor their peers. In mutual encouragement, they are better able to keep up with fast-moving methods, technology, and tools; and to know when good questions call for them.
CDC has several communities of practice that promote peer support, of which the R Users Group is a leading example; also the SAG listserv, R Shiny subgroup, MiND, HERG, BSSWG, SMWG, and SciComp, to list a few.
<sources: Schutt 2012>

Abbreviations: BSSWG = Behavioral and Social Sciences Working Group (CDC); CDC = Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; HERG = Health Economics Research Group (CDC); MiND = Modeling Infectious Diseases (CDC interest group); SAG = Statistical Advisory Group (CDC); SMWG = Sexual Minority Working Group.

Slide 37Advocates influence, guide, support

Slide 37: Advocates influence, guide, support; its text follows
  • Influence the practice and profession of data science
    • Promote and reward commitment to data, self-learning
    • Remove needless barriers (e.g., technology-related procedures)
    • Support instructive failures and interesting mistakes
  • Encourage those who practice data science
  • Uphold those who profess data science
  • Managers, decision-makers, associate directors
Presenter notes

[advocates] A data culture also needs advocates. More than resources such as staffing or money or even “training”, I’m thinking here about advocates who influence how we think and talk and act about the practice and profession of data science. Experts in data science should celebrate, promote, and share intellectual engagements in data-oriented methods. Advocates should promote both the practices and the professions of data science.

Slide 38Data science definition notes

Slide 38: Data science definition notes; its text follows
  • Data science: a set of core activities to ask good questions and line up the tools to answer them rigorously using data
  • “Data scientists don’t scale”, but the practice of data science does. In public health, this practice transcends specialty, but it requires that one exercise rigor and stand behind one’s work.
    • Technical skills to manage and analyze data
    • Traits of a good learner or thinker
    • Supportive culture of mentoring and advocacy
    • Data generation
Presenter notes

[afterword] One popular definition of data science is the science of extracting information from data. Here’s my working definition of data science: a set of core activities for asking good questions and lining up the tools to answer them rigorously using data. Today I’m going to talk about [click] who gets to do data science and [click] how I think we should go about empowering the practice of data science. [click] To keep up with fast-moving methods, technology, and tools for learning from data, scientists—especially scientists of the current generation—need data-savvy skills, data-wise values, also called intellectual virtues, and data-empowering cultural resources. These 3 components are how we can cultivate a data generation.
<democratize/liberate/promote practice among everyone who wants to do useful things with data; guided self-learning>

Slide 39References

Slide 39: References; its text follows
  • Firestein S (2012). Ignorance: How It Drives Science. Oxford University Press.
  • Gelman A (2013-11-14). Statistics is the least important part of data science. andrewgelman.com/2013/11/14/statistics-least-important-part-data-science.
  • Greco J, Turri J (2011-01-12). Virtue epistemology. The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy (Fall 2015 Edition), ed. EN Zalta. plato.stanford.edu/archives/fall2015/entries/epistemology-virtue.
  • King N (2014-09-25). What are intellectual virtues? cct.biola.edu/blog/what-are-intellectual-virtues.
  • Millis J (2015-06-29). Data scientists don’t scale. Machine intelligence does. blog.nutonian.com/data-scientists-dont-scale.
  • Peng RD, Matsui E (2015-09-15). The Art of Data Science: A Guide for Anyone Who Works with Data. leanpub.com/artofdatascience.
  • Schutt R (2012-10-04). Next-gen data scientists. columbiadatascience.com/2012/10/04/next-gen-data-scientists.
  • Schutt R (2012-12-19). Philosophy of data science: embrace the practical and the profound. columbiadatascience.com/2012/12/19/philosophy-of-data-science-embrace-the-practical-and-the-profound.
  • Shillington R (2003). www.shillington.ca.
  • Tukey JW (1962). The future of data analysis. The Annals of Mathematical Statistics 33(1): 1–67. projecteuclid.org/download/pdf_1/euclid.aoms/1177704711.
  • Van Cauwenberge L (2015-11-08). Can you learn data science on the job? www.datasciencecentral.com/profiles/blogs/can-you-learn-data-science-on-the-job.
  • Zawadzki K (2014-08-30). Data science skill-set explained. www.marketingdistillery.com/2014/08/30/data-science-skill-set-explained.
  • Zawadzki K (2014-11-29). Is Data Science a buzzword? Modern Data Scientist defined. www.marketingdistillery.com/2014/11/29/is-data-science-a-buzzword-modern-data-scientist-defined.
  • American Statistical Association (2016-01-21). Statistician projected as top 10 fastest-growing job. thisisstatistics.org/statistician-projected-as-top-10-fastest-growing-job.
  • Baehr J (2013a). The cognitive demands of intellectual virtue. Knowledge, Virtue, and Action, eds. D. Schweikard and T. Henning. Routledge: 99–118.
  • Baehr J (2013b). Educating for intellectual virtues: from theory to practice. Journal of Philosophy of Education. 47(2): 248-262. DOI 10.1111/1467-9752.12023.
  • Baehr J (2015). Cultivating Good Minds: A Philosophical & Practical Guide to Educating for Intellectual Virtues. intellectualvirtues.org/why-should-we-educate-for-intellectual-virtues-2.
  • Box GEP, Draper NR (1987). Empirical Model Building and Response Surfaces. John Wiley & Sons: 424.
  • Breiman L (2001). A Conversation with Leo Breiman. Statistical Science 16(2):184–198. projecteuclid.org/download/pdf_1/euclid.ss/1009213290.
  • Cornwell R (1996-07-13). 'If I've made myself too clear, you must have misunderstood me'. Profile: Alan Greenspan. The Independent. www.independent.co.uk/news/business/if-ive-made-myself-too-clear-you-must-have-misunderstood-me-1328606.html.
  • Costa AL (2008). Describing the habits of mind. Learning and Leading with Habits of Mind, eds. AL Costa, B Kallick. Association for Supervision and Curriculum Development. www.ascd.org/publications/books/108008/chapters/describing-the-habits-of-mind.aspx.
  • Davenport TH, Patil DJ (2012-10). Data scientist: the sexiest job of the 21st century. Harvard Business Review. hbr.org/2012/10/data-scientist-the-sexiest-job-of-the-21st-century.
  • Dishman L (2016-01-20). These are the top 25 jobs in the U.S. this year. Fast Company. www.fastcompany.com/3055629/the-future-of-work/these-are-the-top-25-jobs-in-the-us-this-year.
  • Donoho D (2015-09-18). 50 years of Data Science, based on a presentation at the Tukey Centennial workshop, Princeton NJ.

Abbreviations: DOI = digital object identifier.

Slide 40[how my thesis applies to data science in public health as distinct from other stuff]

Slide 40: [how my thesis applies to data science in public health as distinct from other stuff]; its text follows
  • [intense pragmatism of data in the service of public health]
  • Public health crosses disciplines
  • Public health is pragmatic → solve problems as [corrected: well] as one can, given resources
  • Data tools (technology, methods) change rapidly and become more open — anyone can try to apply them
  • Working with data is largely autonomous
  • Scientific method holds us to account on rigor, defensibility

Slide 41Sources of data, by locus of control

Two-by-two arrangement of data-source types, with one axis label set vertically at left and another centered below.
Control over data elements and structureObservational / Cohort / Survey / SurveillanceExperimental / Trials
Programmatic / Registries / Claims dataComparative effectiveness?
Control over subject environment

“The larger field cares about each and every step that the professional must take, from getting acquainted with the data all the way to delivering results based upon it.” (Donoho 2015)

Slide 42[wall-of-data graphic]

Full-slide image: many vertical streams of glowing green digits on a black background, with brighter segments scattered along them.
Description

Text in the picture (summary)

Columns of digits run down the image and form no words.

Presenter notes

[wall-of-data graphic] CDC consumes a lot of data to support our public health mission. Surveillance, surveys, program evaluation, studies of health services, clinical trials. From small, structured data to big, unstructured data, the scope and scale of those data change over time, as do the methods, technology, and tools for extracting meaning from them. At CDC, we have the luxury and advantage of a shared mission, a commitment to public service, and an intense, pragmatic need to draw on expertise across disciplines in multifaceted teams. How can we empower public health scientists to ask good questions and line up the tools to answer them rigorously using data?

Abbreviations: CDC = Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Slide 43"I love it when you call me Big Data"

Macro of Lt Commander Data
Description

Text in the picture

I LOVE IT WHEN
YOU CALL ME BIG DATA

Slide 44The Art of Data Science cover

Book cover: a bar chart of 5 bars made of colored mosaic tiles on a cream tiled background, with title and authors in black.

Slide 45State a good question

Coral-red gear-shaped badge at upper right holding a numeral 1.
  • Set expectations:
  • question of interest, will advance public health
  • Collect information:
  • consult experts, literature
  • If needed,
  • revise the question
Presenter notes

[state] For the first core activity, State a good question, the epicycles might look something like this: [click] Set expectations by asking, “Is the question of interest to the audience? Will it advance public health?” Collect information by consulting experts and reviewing the literature and other sources.
If the initial question is too broad or narrow, is implausible or defies an answer, then the question needs to be refined. A certain amount of pluck might be needed at the outset. The need to revise might not become apparent until much later in the process.
<sources: Peng and Matsui 2015>

Slide 46Obtain and explore data

Pink gear-shaped badge at upper right holding a numeral 2 under a small ring.
  • Set expectations:
  • data appropriate for the question
  • Collect information:
  • Examine data early and often
    • Learn about the data
    • Learn from the data
  • If needed,
  • refine the question or obtain more data
Presenter notes

[obtain, explore] The next core activity is to obtain and explore data that might answer the question. Sometimes you get the chance to design how data are collected, as with a prospective research study. Often the task is to repurpose data that were collected for some other purpose—maybe even data that were never intended to support scientific inquiry. [click] Set expectations by asking whether the data are appropriate for the question. Collect information about the data by examining them early and often, both to learn about the data and to learn from the data. If the data don’t seem to address the point, then either the data or the question might need to be revisited.
<sources: Peng and Matsui 2015>

Slide 47Build a formal model

Light blue gear-shaped badge at upper right holding a numeral 3 under a small ring.
  • Set expectations:
  • model answers the question
    • Explain (data generation)
    • Predict (output accuracy)
  • Collect information:
  • challenge model assumptions and structure
  • If needed,
  • revise model structure or inputs
Presenter notes

[build] When the data seem suitable to answer the question, the next activity is to develop a structured answer—a formal mathematical or statistical model. [click] The expectation is that the model answers the question. The analyst might start with an assumption about how the data were generated, like a set of events that follow some probability distribution to encode relationships between characteristics. This data-generation model might infer an association or explain causes and effects based on some ideal of how the data were produced. Or it might be a predictive model that accurately figures out a likely outcome given a set of inputs. You check your expectations through sensitivity analysis—asking how your conclusion might change if the assumptions or the data differed in some way. Challenge your results at every step of the analysis. You might need to revise your inputs or your model structure.
<sources: Peng and Matsui 2015>

Slide 48Interpret results and implications

Yellow-green gear-shaped badge at upper right holding a numeral 4 under a small ring.
  • Set expectations:
  • analysis provides specific, meaningful answer
  • Collect information:
  • totality of analyses—effect sizes, accuracy, uncertainty
  • If needed,
  • revise analysis to provide a specific, meaningful answer
Presenter notes

[interpret] You next need to interpret your results and their implications. “Next” doesn’t mean follow a strict sequence, as these activities are closely related and iterative. This is called out as a separate core activity to ensure that the analyst can show others that she has rigorously answered the question. [click] Set expectations by asking whether the analysis provides a specific, meaningful answer to the question. Assess expectations by considering the totality of analyses: How large is the effect that answers the question? How accurate the prediction? How much uncertainty or error is left unresolved? If needed, revise analysis or models to provide a specific and meaningful answer.
<sources: Peng and Matsui 2015>

Slide 49Communicate methods, results, significance

Golden gear-shaped badge at upper right, touching the end of the title, holding a numeral 5 under a small ring.
  • Set expectations:
  • understood, complete, and meaningful to the audience
    • content, style, attitude
  • Collect information:
  • feedback from audience
  • If needed,
  • revise presentation
Presenter notes

[communicate] Analytic work has its impact [click] when it can be conveyed to an audience in a way that is understandable, complete, and meaningful to an audience. You can check your expectation by seeking feedback from your audiences and, if needed, revise analyses or the approach to presentation.
<sources: Peng and Matsui 2015>

Abbreviations

ADDS = Associate Director for Data Science; BREMA = bivariate random-effects meta-analysis; BSSWG = Behavioral and Social Sciences Working Group (CDC); CDC = Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; CMS = Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services; CSELS = Center for Surveillance, Epidemiology, and Laboratory Services (CDC); DHIS = Division of Health Informatics and Surveillance (CDC, in CSELS); DOI = digital object identifier; DSEPD = Division of Scientific Education and Professional Development (CDC); EIS = Epidemic Intelligence Service (CDC); HBR = Harvard Business Review; HERG = Health Economics Research Group (CDC); HHS = Department of Health and Human Services; HIV = human immunodeficiency virus; HIVTB = human immunodeficiency virus and tuberculosis; ID = Improving Diagnosis of TB in People Living with HIV (study); IT = information technology; MInD = Modeling Infectious Diseases (CDC interest group); MiND = Modeling Infectious Diseases (CDC interest group); ORISE = Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education; PE = Prevention Effectiveness (Fellowship, CDC); PHI = Public Health Informatics (Fellowship); PM = Preventive Medicine (Residency and Fellowship, CDC); SAG = Statistical Advisory Group (CDC); SE = Southeast (as in SE Asia); SMWG = Sexual Minority Working Group; TB = tuberculosis; UC = University of California (Berkeley); US = United States; USA = United States of America; WHO = World Health Organization; XDR = extensively drug-resistant.

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